In this blog article we speak about Answer the following questions with yes or no numbers below and compare the probability of winning the game (see the “pre-conditioning of bets with probability” chart.)
- 1.9 / 10 +
To compute the probability of winning the game, we will need to divide the probability by the probability of winning the game. The probability of success is given by the three sets of results found in this post:
As you can see, the first group is better, after a little tweaking the formula gives a 50% chance of winning. The last group is worse; after a little adjusting the formula results in a 47% chance of winning.
For this calculation, we are doing the following:
We simply multiply the likelihood of winning by the probability of winning by (the two factors that change from season to season) / 100 to determine the likelihood of a positive match. For example, if we take the probability of winning to be 1/10 and the likelihood of winning to be 1/100, then each result in the first group holds a 50% chance of winning.
Note that there are always three possible possibilities, and even though these combinations of probabilities work, all three are impossible, as each group also has more than three different possibilities.
Let’s look at this result for the other groups. First, we divide probabilities into the given odds of winning by (1/10) + 100.